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© BK media systems 1995-2005
All Rights Reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced, transmitted, or translated in any form, by any means electronic, mechanical, manual, optical, or otherwise, without prior written consent of Bernhard Kockoth media systems.
updated 03/2005
BK spoke with Burning Bush!
See how my predictions turned true very soon!!!
2005 reality check:We have cars that can park themselves, keep the distance to the car in front, avoid veering off the road, communicate with the rest of the world.
2005 prediction: Simple electronic devices (which may talk wireless) can be powered from the air - noise, heat, vibration, light, radio waves. This will enable an infrastructure of devices that manage the daily hassle, leading to automated individual transportation, but not in the next five years.
2004 reality check: My phone has more processing power and memory capacity than my PC 10 years ago, including its harddisk. It can take pictures, keep my appointments, record voice memos, play MP3, surf the web, edit documents, and fits in a shirt pocket! PDAs are dead.
2004 prediction: Open source software rulez! The need to have license-worry-free software becomes more important than the sophistication of Microsoft products if ever there was one - remember what Bill said about the Internet in 1995?!.
2003 reality check: DVD recording is popular now, the first consumer harddisk recorders appear, cut your own movie without the computer!
2003 prediction: Everything digital now takes over photography. 4..5 Megapixel easily replaces 35mm film, not to speak of APS and all the other obsolete film formats.
2002 reality check:United Europe one step further, the EURO gives us one degree more freedom for trade and communication inside Europe. Prices will level and distribution systems will work independent of former national borders. Only speech barriers will take time to dissolve.
2002 prediction: The level of embedded intelligence will rise faster than our ideas of what to do with it. Right now Microsoft does a good job limiting the power of available potential computer intelligence. The Internet unites more knowledge than all libraries in the world. Next this knowledge will be accessible via handheld - wearable - implanted devices.
2001 reality check:Advanced Photo System is dead, digital photography is at it killing 35mm and Polaroid will not survive 2002. MP3 rules the audio and DVD replaces VHS tapes. Next are hard disk recorders, already my CD and record collection has place on a single hard drive.
2001 prediction: The size and price reduction of electronic memory will lead to the abandon of traditional media carriers like newspapers music CDs video cassettes floppy disk whatever. No need to buy data carriers any more, when pure information becomes more available to all of us.
2000 prediction: Part of my family struggles with real world borders - consulates - visas - customs - the beurk! Ten years from now all this nonsense will be a thing of the past.
Everything will go wireless! Complete communicator devices arrive fast: phone + camera + web-browser + speech recognition + [your idea here].
2000 reality check: Personal Digital Stereo Vision System works miracles! So does high speed DSL Internet and home networking (but my toaster is not connected ... yet).
35mm cameras do fine, but APS is already inferior to consumer digital cameras. APS will go as have gone 110, 126 and many other formats.
MP3 recorders are reality and your whole record/CD-collection fits in your shirtpocket.
1999 prediction: New trends in data-transmission based connectivity change our lifes. Try to call me by phone? Better send an e-mail!
1998 prediction: The death of zip drives, and other augmented floppy disk formats. Recording CD-ROM yourself delivers media which is compatible with almost every computer system (and stereo and ...).
1998 reality check: Philips now sells audio CD-recorders. DCC cassettes, anyone? MiniDisc is doing fine, but MP3 looms on the horizon.
1997 project: BK media systems designs the Personal Digital Stereo Vision System. Projected prototype: 1999.
1997 prediction: By the year 2000 we will have 1 billion people on the Internet, and 1 billion homepages! Well, for me it looks rather like 1 billion coffee machines, microwave ovens and washing machines on the internet, each with it's own homepage interface. The chips exist, the addresses will be available and data transmission comes over power cables.
1997 reality check: I've counted over 50 Surfing-related sites in Europe alone!
Sharp added a small camera to their PDA. Nokia announces wireless PDA-GSM phone ... almost there!
Sony and Sharp show prototypes of digital cameras with MiniDisc, but no production as long as Sony sells Floppy-disk cameras.
1996 prediction: From the early BK media elekktrik photo page about the first consumer digital cameras: I proposed MiniDisc as reusable storage media instead of tiny FLASH cards or already useless floppy disk.
Another wishlist item is a wireless interface on cameras.
1995 reality check: BK media is one of a handful european websites featuring real surfing action.
1995 prediction: APS film-based cameras are doomed from the beginning. Quality is beyond and price is above 35mm systems. The cameras are still clunky and will be outdated by digital cameras soon.
1994 prediction: Sony MiniDisc and Philips DCC recorders offer digital sound recording at reasonable prices. I bought MiniDisc.